Barney Frank Flounders

Frank Crimi in American Thinker

Congressman Barney Frank is in the fight of his political life. In the latest National Journal Political Insider’s Poll, surveying 111 Democrat operatives, over two-thirds of the respondents believed Democrats will lose control of the House of Representatives after the November 2010 election. Underscoring the apprehension held by the polled insiders was their added belief that the losses would extend beyond moderate “Blue Dog” lawmakers to include a number of prominent progressive representatives.

Conventional wisdom had long held the most likely Democrat victims in the House would come from the ranks of these forty or so conservative Blue Dogs. However, 2010 has proven to be a very unconventional political year. Keeping in line with the National Journal poll, political analyst Charlie Cook shows up to eighty congressional Democrat seats in serious play, which adds further proof that a good many progressive lawmakers seem destined to meet the same fate as their more moderate colleagues.

“Tsunami” has been the word most often employed by pundits to describe the projected electoral beating Democrats are poised to suffer in November. Given both these survey and poll results, it’s now a particularly apropos term, as tsunamis don’t neatly discriminate about what, or in this case who, gets swept away in their path.

Progressive Democrat electoral concerns are no more evident than in the race for Massachusetts’s 4th congressional district, which sees longtime ultra-liberal incumbent Barney Frank in dire political straits, squared off against a relatively unknown challenger, Sean Bielat, a thirty-five-year-old businessman and Marine Corps veteran.

The cause of Frank’s concern is recent polling that shows him with an approval rating below 50%, a shocking and perhaps lethal position for a thirty-year progressive incumbent from the bluest of blue states to find himself in. The poll results led The Cook Report to downgrade Frank’s electoral chances from “solid” to “likely.”

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